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National Weather Service Tucson Arizona
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

 
 FXUS66 KLOX 250001
AFDLOX

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
401 PM PST TUE NOV 24 2009

...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION...

.SYNOPSIS...

GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES SHOULD SEND THE AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES FAR ABOVE THE SEASONAL VALUES INTO THURSDAY. A DRY COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND TEMPERATURES WILL COOL
SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL. BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS ON
SUNDAY WILL START A WARMING TREND WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING ABOVE
THE SEASONAL LEVELS.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-FRI)...HAVE EXTENDED THE WIND ADVISORY OVER AREAS
OF VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES THROUGH 3 PM WEDNESDAY. THE
BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH
IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO 40 MPH IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...GUSTS
WILL TREND SLIGHTLY LESS THAN EARLIER THIS MORNING. A DECREASING
TREND WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING AS THE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WEAKENS. TEMPERATURES
WERE 5 TO 10 DEGREES SEASONAL NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON AND A WARMING
TREND WILL VERY LIKELY CONTINUE OVER THE INLAND AREAS WITH A
COOLING TREND NEAR THE COAST AS THE OFFSHORE WINDS WEAKEN AND
REVERSE WED THROUGH THU. AS THE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND
EASTERN PAC WEAKENS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...CURRENTLY OVER THE
CENTRAL PAC...WILL APPROACH AND MOVE ASHORE FRI. A DRY COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE ASHORE FRI AND TEMPERATURES WILL COOL 5 TO 10 DEGREES
BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL AND BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS. WILL CONTINUE DRY
OVER THE ENTIRE AREA FRI.

.LONG TERM (SAT-TUE)...COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
SATURDAY AND WILL CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT
PRECIPITATION IN THE VICINITY OF CUDDY VALLEY SAT. THERE IS A CHANCE
MOISTURE...REMNANT FROM THE FRONT...CONSOLIDATES AND ASCENDS ALONG
THE SLOPES ADJACENT TO NORTHERN VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS. OTHERWISE
MADE LITTLE CHANGES THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOW LEVEL NORTHEAST WINDS
WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
PAC NW AND MOVES OVER THE GREAT BASIN...THE GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST
OVER THE AREA THROUGH SUN MORNING THEN DIMINISH AS THE RIDGE WEAKENS
SUN EVENING. GUIDANCE WAS CONSISTENT WITH AN HIGH AMPLITUDE LONG
WAVE RIDGE BUILDING NORTH AND CENTERED OVER THE PAC NW. LOWER THAN
NORMAL MID LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA
WHILE THE RIDGE BUILDS NORTH AND UPPER MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
BEGIN TO MOVE OVER THE AREA TUE. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY WARM TO
SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL SUN WITH LITTLE CHANGES THROUGH TUE.

&&

.AVIATION...25/0001Z.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AT ALL TERMINALS.
PERIODS OF MODERATE TO STRONG TURBULENCE AND LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
WILL OCCUR AT KBUR...KVNY...AND KOXR.

KLAX...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

KBUR...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WITH
PERIODS OF MODERATE TO STRONG TURBULENCE AND LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX).


&&




PUBLIC...30
AVIATION...HALL
SYNOPSIS...SETO

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